Sebastian Baez vs Lloyd Harris Prediction – ATP U.S. Open – 25th August 2025 Best Bets

Sebastian Baez and Lloyd Harris Prediction Head To Head Summary

Baez vs Harris Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Baez has a 56.18% chance to win this match.

Baez → 2.07. Harris → 1.78.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Baez vs Harris Upcoming Match Details:

Baez will play Harris on Hard court in the First round at the ATP U.S. Open event in New York Men’s Singles 2025 on 25th August 2025.

Head-to-Head: Baez 0-0 Harris

The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Baez comes into this match with a ranking of 39 , while Harris is ranked 353.

Baez vs Harris Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Harris has won 45% of points on his second serve, while Baez has won 46% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Harris has won 23% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Baez has won 32%. The same stats for second serve return points are 45% and 49% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Harris has been saving 57% of his breakpoints, and Baez has saved 50% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Harris performs best on Hard, winning 71% (W/L 286/117) and worse career win % on Clay, winning 46% (W/L 40/47). Baez performs best on Clay, winning 69% (W/L 229/102), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 14% (W/L 3/19).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Lloyd Harris has converted 28% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Sebastian Baez has converted 37% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Sebastian Baez played Botic Van De Zandschulp in the Third round at the Winston-Salem Open – Winston-Salem and lost 0-6 6-1 6-4 in 01:49:44 . Lloyd Harris played Daniel Merida Aguilar in the Q3 round at the U.S. Open – New York and won 6-1 7-6(2) in 01:13:00.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Sebastian Baez and Lloyd Harris

Of their last 10 matches played, Baez has won 3, while Harris has won 6. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard in recent matches, Baez has won 49% of his own 2nd serve points and 37% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 129 , while Harris has won 57% of his own 2nd serve points and 41% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 288.32.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Baez Vs Harris

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Baez has won 18 titles in his career, while Lloyd Harris has won 23 events. Baez has won 51% (32225 of 62685) of points played in his entire career, and Harris has achieved 52% (41232 of 79925). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Baez has won 51% of tie breaks in his entire career (67 of 131), whereas Lloyd Harris has won 54% (135 of 252). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Sebastian Baez has an 52.52% probability of winning this match.

Sebastian Baez vs Lloyd Harris Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Sebastian Baez To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Sebastian Baez has a 52.52% chance of winning and Lloyd Harris has a 47.48% chance of taking the victory. We tip Baez to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the U.S. Open – New York, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Sebastian Baez

• Baez vs Fritz H2H () , could play in The Second round

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Lloyd Harris

• Harris vs Fritz H2H (undefined), could play in The Second round