Sebastian Baez vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction – ATP Hamburg Open – 20th May 2025 Best Bets

Sebastian Baez and Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction Head To Head Summary

Baez vs Carabelli Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Baez has a 62.11% chance to win this match.

Baez → 1.61. Carabelli → 2.49.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Baez vs Carabelli Upcoming Match Details:

Baez will play Carabelli on Clay court in the First round at the ATP Hamburg Open event in Hamburg Men’s Singles 2025 on 20th May 2025.

Head-to-Head: Baez 6-2 Carabelli

The current Head to Head score is 6-2. Baez comes into this match with a ranking of 36 , while Carabelli is ranked 52.

Baez vs Carabelli Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Carabelli has won 44% of points on his second serve, while Baez has won 46% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Carabelli has won 29% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Baez has won 33%. The same stats for second serve return points are 48% and 46% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Carabelli has been saving 54% of his breakpoints, and Baez has saved 51% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Carabelli performs best on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 335/180) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 0% (W/L 0/2). Baez performs best on Clay, winning 70% (W/L 228/98), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 14% (W/L 3/19).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Camilo Ugo Carabelli has converted 35% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Sebastian Baez has converted 35% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Sebastian Baez played Rinky Hijikata in the Second round at the Bordeaux Challenger and lost 6-4 3-6 6-2 in 02:15:29 . Camilo Ugo Carabelli played Bu Yunchaokete in the Semifinals at the Turin Challenger and lost 6-3 6-2 in 01:32:03.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Sebastian Baez and Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Of their last 10 matches played, Baez has won 4, while Carabelli has won 6. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay . In recent matches, Baez has won 53% of his own 2nd serve points and 42% of return points , while Carabelli has won 48% of his own 2nd serve points and 44% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Baez Vs Carabelli

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Baez has won 18 titles in his career, while Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won 12 events. Baez has won 51% (31428 of 61037) of points played in his entire career, and Carabelli has achieved 51% (39175 of 76167). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Baez has won 50% of tie breaks in his entire career (65 of 129), whereas Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won 55% (81 of 146). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Sebastian Baez has an 55.88% probability of winning this match.

Sebastian Baez vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Sebastian Baez To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Sebastian Baez has a 55.88% chance of winning and Camilo Ugo Carabelli has a 44.12% chance of taking the victory. We tip Baez to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Hamburg Open – Hamburg, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Sebastian Baez

• Baez vs Comesana H2H () , could play in The Second round
• Baez vs Etcheverry H2H () , could play in The Second round

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Camilo Ugo Carabelli

• Carabelli vs Comesana H2H (undefined), could play in The Second round
• Carabelli vs Etcheverry H2H (undefined), could play in The Second round