Ariana Arseneault vs Naomi Osaka Prediction – WTA Omnium Banque Nationale – 28th July 2025 Best Bets

Ariana Arseneault and Naomi Osaka Prediction Head To Head Summary

Arseneault vs Osaka Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Osaka has a 90.91% chance to win this match.

Arseneault → 10.14. Osaka → 1.1.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Arseneault vs Osaka Upcoming Match Details:

Arseneault will play Osaka on Hard court in the First round at the WTA Omnium Banque Nationale event in Montreal Women’s Singles 2025 on 28th July 2025.

Head-to-Head: Arseneault 0-0 Osaka

The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Arseneault comes into this match with a ranking of 515 , while Osaka is ranked 49.

Arseneault vs Osaka Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Osaka has won 45% of points on his second serve, while Arseneault has won 44% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Osaka has won 25% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Arseneault has won 32%. The same stats for second serve return points are 52% and 50% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Osaka has been saving 51% of his breakpoints, and Arseneault has saved 44% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Osaka performs best on Hard, winning 66% (W/L 219/111) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 55% (W/L 24/20). Arseneault performs best on I.hard, winning 55% (W/L 18/15), and performs worse on Clay, winning 50% (W/L 8/8).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Naomi Osaka has converted 32% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Ariana Arseneault has converted 44% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Ariana Arseneault played Destanee Aiava in the Q1 round at the Omnium Banque Nationale – Montreal and won 6-3 7-6(5) in 01:26:44 . Naomi Osaka played Emma Raducanu in the Second round at the Mubadala Citi DC Open – Washington and lost 6-4 6-2 in 01:21:01.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Ariana Arseneault and Naomi Osaka

Of their last 10 matches played, Arseneault has won 5, while Osaka has won 4. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard in recent matches, Arseneault has won 49% of her own 2nd serve points and 46% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 266.25 , while Osaka has won 51% of her own 2nd serve points and 40% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 108.65.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Arseneault Vs Osaka

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Arseneault has won 0 title in her career, while Naomi Osaka has won 8 events. Arseneault has won 50% (6189 of 12315) of points played in her entire career, and Osaka has achieved 52% (27114 of 52143). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Arseneault has won 58% of tie breaks in his entire career (14 of 24), whereas Naomi Osaka has won 52% (60 of 115). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Naomi Osaka has an 91.62% probability of winning this match.

Ariana Arseneault vs Naomi Osaka Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Naomi Osaka To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Ariana Arseneault has a 8.38% chance of winning and Naomi Osaka has a 91.62% chance of taking the victory. We tip Osaka to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Omnium Banque Nationale – Montreal, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Ariana Arseneault

• Arseneault vs Ostapenko H2H () , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Arseneault vs Zarazua H2H () , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Arseneault vs Boulter H2H () , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Samsonova vs Arseneault H2H () , could play in The Second round

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Naomi Osaka

• Osaka vs Ostapenko H2H (undefined), could play in The Quarterfinals
• Osaka vs Zarazua H2H (undefined), could play in The Quarterfinals
• Osaka vs Boulter H2H (undefined), could play in The Quarterfinals
• Samsonova vs Osaka H2H (undefined), could play in The Second round