Serie A Preview And Prediction: Napoli vs Genoa Betting Tips & Picks October 5, 2025

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Uncover all the data for the gambling market for the Napoli vs Genoa match for the Serie A 25/26 on the October 5, 2025, in the following analysis. the Napoli vs Genoa picks, best bets and odds for this match in the breakdown below.

Prediction Based On Odds: Napoli to secure the win

  • Implied from the sportsbook odds, Napoli are the favorite to come out on top in this match with a 68.07% probability to win. A solid prediction? Yes, because Oddsmakers know their calculations:
    Napoli → 1.47
    Genoa → 9.50
    Prediction Chance Of Win
    Napoli 68.07 %
    Genoa 10.53 %
    Draw 24.88 %

    Above is calculated from odds. Login now to discover our expert predictions.

  • Implied chance from the odds, also indicates there is a 38.02% probability that both Napoli and Genoa to score (BTTS):
    BTTS Yes → 2.63
    Prediction Chance Of BTTS
    Yes 38.02 %
    No 64.06 %

    Above is implied from odds. Login now to find out our expert predictions.

  • Analyzing the odds for goal count indicates a likelihood of a 70.77% prediction of this game having over 1.5 total goals scored:
    Match Over 1.5 Goals → 1.41
    Prediction Chance Of O/U FT (1.5)
    Over 70.77 %
    Under 32.26 %

    Above is calculated from odds. Login now to discover our expert picks.

  • Evaluating the odds for total goals indicates there is a 43.86% prediction of this match having more than 2.5 total goals:
    Match Over 2.5 Goals → 2.28
    Prediction Chance Of O/U FT (2.5)
    Over 43.86 %
    Under 59.38 %

    Above is calculated from odds. Login now to get our expert picks.

  • Evaluating the odds for DNB suggests a likelihood of 88.5% prediction that Napoli will come out on top in this match. Odds for:
    Napoli → 1.13
    Prediction Chance Of Draw No Bet
    Napoli 88.5 %
    Genoa 13.89 %

    Above is implied from odds. Login now to get our expert picks.

  • Evaluating the odds for goal count suggests a likelihood of 29.5% expectation that this game will have more than 1.5 goals in the first half:
    Match Over 1.5 Goals → 3.39
    Prediction Chance Of O/U 1H (1.5)
    Over 29.5 %
    Under 74.07 %

    Above is calculated from odds. Login now to discover our expert picks.

To explore value bets in order make money, read our in-depth Football betting tips at Matchstat.com. Reveal today’s winning Football value bets here.

Prediction Based On H2H: Napoli to secure victory

Team Head-To-Head Match Wins
Napoli 5
Genoa 1
Draw 4

Head-to-Head: Napoli (5 – 1) Genoa.
Napoli to win. What’s the reasoning? For the most recent 10 H2H fixtures between them, Napoli are ahead 5 – 1. Our head-to-head analysis starts from the fixture they had in 2007. This indicates that Napoli should get the victory in this scheduled match. Their most recent meeting happened on the Sun, 11 May 25, Where Napoli and Genoa ended in 2 – 2 draw.

Will Genoa reverse the trend and win? The last game Genoa got the better of Napoli occurred on Sat, 06 Feb 21, illustrating that they can still turn things around.

Form-Based Prediction: Napoli to get the victory

Looking at current performance before this fixture, Napoli claimed a win facing Sporting with a score of 2-1. Genoa lost vs Lazio with a result of 0-3. Napoli have won 8 of their last 10 games versus all opponents, while Genoa triumphed in 4 of their recent 10 fixtures against all teams, suggesting perhaps Napoli have an edge heading into this match.

A comparison of team trends gives us interesting information into momentum so you can uncover winning wagers

Against All Opponents Streaks:

  • Both teams: Without clean sheet in the last 5 matches.
  • Napoli: More than 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 matches.
  • Napoli: Both teams scoring in 4 of the last 5 matches.
  • Napoli: First to score in 8 of the last 10 matches.
  • Genoa: First to concede in 4 of the last 5 matches.
  • Napoli: Less than 4.5 cards in 10 of the last 10 matches.
  • Genoa: Less than 10.5 corners in 7 of the last 7 matches.

Only H2H Streaks:

  • Napoli: 6 No losses.
  • Napoli: Without clean sheet in the last 4 matches.
  • Genoa: Without clean sheet in the last 9 matches.
  • Both teams: More than 2.5 goals in 8 of the last 9 matches.
  • Both teams: Both teams scoring in 6 of the last 7 matches.
  • Both teams: Less than 4.5 cards in 7 of the last 9 matches.
  • Both teams: Less than 10.5 corners in 6 of the last 8 matches.

Napoli vs Genoa Top Bookie Odds For The Fixture

Full Time Result
1W

1.469
2W

9.5
X

4.02
Both Teams To Score
Yes

2.63
No

1.561
Over Under Full Time
> 1.5

1.413
< 1.5

3.1
> 2.5

2.28
< 2.5

1.684
Asian Handicap && -1.5
1W -1.5

2.47
2W -1.5

1.606
Draw No Bet
1W

1.13
2W

7.2
Over Under First Half
> 1.5

3.39
< 1.5

1.35
Over Under Second Half
> 1.5

2.5
< 1.5

1.47

Napoli vs Genoa Tips

Both Teams To Score → No appears a valuable wager → 1.56