Find out all the facts for the gambling market for the Colton Smith vs Shintaro Mochizuki game for the Nottingham 2 Challenger 2025 on the June 20, 2025, in our analysis here. Learn the Colton Smith vs Shintaro Mochizuki predictions, betting tips & odds markets for this fixture in the breakdown below.
Pick Based On Odds: Colton Smith to triumph
- Calculated from the sportsbook odds, Colton Smith is the pick to come out on top in this game with a 56.05% probability to win. Is this a reliable prediction? Most likely, due to Sportsbooks are highly accurate:
Colton Smith → 1.67
Shintaro Mochizuki → 2.13Prediction Chance Of Win Colton Smith 56.05 % Shintaro Mochizuki 43.95 % Above is implied from odds. Login now to reveal our expert picks.
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Prediction Based On H2H: A 50/50 call
| Team | Head-To-Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Colton Smith | 1 |
| Shintaro Mochizuki | 1 |
Head-2-Head: Colton Smith (1 – 1) Shintaro Mochizuki.
It’s Nip and tuck! Who’s got the edge? Across the past 2 direct games between these players, both players stand level. Our head-to-head data goes back to the encounter between them in 2024. This suggests that the upcoming game is up for grabs. The latest match took place on the Tue, 10 Jun 25, when Shintaro Mochizuki achieved a 6-3-6 – 4-6-2 win.
Is this the tiebreaker? Both Colton Smith and Shintaro Mochizuki has an equal H2H record. This upcoming match could be the turning point.
Prediction Based On Recent Form: Nip and tuck
Looking at current performance heading into this game, Colton Smith got the win versus Emilio Nava with a score of 6-6-6/7(5)-4-4. Shintaro Mochizuki secured victory vs Jaime Faria with a result of 6-6/2-0. Colton Smith have triumphed in 6 of their last 10 matches versus all opponents, while Shintaro Mochizuki triumphed in 6 of their recent 10 matches in all competitions, suggesting maybe this match is too close to call.
Recent Form Prediction: Close to call
- Colton Smith has won 7 of the last 10 matches played, while Shintaro Mochizuki has secured 6 victories over the same range.
- Colton Smith has been winning 44% of their own second serve points, and 42% of their opponents, while Shintaro Mochizuki has won 42% of their second serve points and 48% of their opponents.
- Colton Smith comes into this match having won a 2 hours 25 min battle vs Emilio Nava in which he managed to win 40% of return points (198/501), hitting 29 aces himself during the match.
- Shintaro Mochizuki comes into this match having won a 48 min battle vs Jaime Faria in which he managed to win 48% of return points (85/177), hitting 4 aces himself during the match.
- In this event so far Colton Smith has been holding serve 86% of the time (64/74), while Shintaro Mochizuki has held their serve 85% of the time (23/27.
Career Performance Prediction: Close to call
- Colton Smith has a career high ranking of 146, while Shintaro Mochizuki has a career high rank of 164.
- Colton Smith has claimed 2 Career titles and career earnings of $37,650, versus 2 trophies for Shintaro Mochizuki and $6,73,210 prize money.
- Colton Smith has a 78% deciding set win % (7/9), compared to 86% for Shintaro Mochizuki (6/7)
- The 1st serve of Colton Smith has resulted in him winning 68% of points, and Shintaro Mochizuki has won 61% of their first serve points.
- Second serve points won, is 57% for Colton Smith and 52% for Shintaro Mochizuki.
- After losing the first set, Colton Smith manages to turn the match around and win it 40% of the time, and Shintaro Mochizuki has a 29% record in eventually winning the match.
