Access all the details around gambling market for the Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex De Minaur contest for the Nitto ATP Finals – Turin 2025 on the November 11, 2025, in the following analysis. We reveal the Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex De Minaur predictions, betting tips and odds for this game in the our analysis beneath.
Prediction Based On Odds: Alex De Minaur to get the victory
- Derived via the bookies odds, Alex De Minaur is the favorite to come out on top in this fixture with a 51.68% chance to win. Is this a reliable prediction? Yes, because Bookmakers are highly accurate:
Lorenzo Musetti → 2.00
Alex De Minaur → 1.87Prediction Chance Of Win Lorenzo Musetti 48.32 % Alex De Minaur 51.68 % Above is calculated from odds. Login now to find out our expert predictions.
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Prediction Based On Head-2-Head: Lorenzo Musetti to secure victory
| Team | Head-To-Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Lorenzo Musetti | 3 |
| Alex De Minaur | 1 |
Head-2-Head: Lorenzo Musetti (3 – 1) Alex De Minaur.
Lorenzo Musetti to win. What’s the reasoning? Over the last 4 direct encounters between them, Lorenzo Musetti lead 3 – 1. Our head to head data goes back to the match they had in 2022. This suggests that Lorenzo Musetti should win in this scheduled match. The last match between them took place on the Wed, 30 Apr 25, where Lorenzo Musetti secured a 6-6 – 4-2 win.
Alex De Minaur has never won Vs Lorenzo Musetti showing they have a low probability.
Prediction Based On Recent Form: Evenly matched
Considering recent form heading into this fixture, Lorenzo Musetti were beaten facing Taylor Fritz with a score of 3-4/6-6. Alex De Minaur lost versus Carlos Alcaraz with a result of 6(5)-2/7-6. Lorenzo Musetti have won 6 of their recent 10 fixtures vs all teams, whereas Alex De Minaur got the victory in 6 of their last 10 matches against all teams, indicating perhaps this match is too close to call.
Recent Form Prediction: Close to call
- Lorenzo Musetti has won 6 of the last 10 matches played, while Alex De Minaur has secured 6 victories over the same range.
- Lorenzo Musetti has been winning 47% of their own second serve points, and 43% of their opponents, while Alex De Minaur has won 46% of their second serve points and 43% of their opponents.
- Lorenzo Musetti comes into this match having won a 1 hour 42 min battle vs Taylor Fritz in which he managed to win 23% of return points (13/56), hitting 5 aces himself during the match.
- Alex De Minaur comes into this match having won a 1 hour 40 min battle vs Carlos Alcaraz in which he managed to win 39% of return points (28/72), hitting 4 aces himself during the match.
- In this event so far Lorenzo Musetti has been holding serve 78% of the time (7/9), while Alex De Minaur has held their serve 60% of the time (6/10.
Career Performance Prediction: Close to call
- Lorenzo Musetti has a career high ranking of 9, while Alex De Minaur has a career high rank of 7.
- Lorenzo Musetti has claimed 6 Career titles and career earnings of $76,55,980, versus 12 trophies for Alex De Minaur and $1,38,14,330 prize money.
- Lorenzo Musetti has a 50% deciding set win % (15/30), compared to 57% for Alex De Minaur (24/42)
- The 1st serve of Lorenzo Musetti has resulted in him winning 64% of points, and Alex De Minaur has won 60% of their first serve points.
- Second serve points won, is 52% for Lorenzo Musetti and 52% for Alex De Minaur.
- After losing the first set, Lorenzo Musetti manages to turn the match around and win it 22% of the time, and Alex De Minaur has a 24% record in eventually winning the match.
