NHL Preview And Prediction: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montréal Canadiens Betting Tips & Picks December 7, 2025

Forecast Based On Odds: Toronto Maple Leafs to come out on top

• Derived via the sportsbook odds, Toronto Maple Leafs are the favorite to get the victory in this match with a 57.84% probability to win. An accurate prediction? We think so, due to Bookies know their calculations:
  Toronto Maple Leafs → 1.73
  Montréal Canadiens → 2.24

  Prediction	Chance Of Win
  Toronto Maple Leafs	57.84 %
  Montréal Canadiens	44.64 %
  Above is implied from odds. Login now to discover our expert picks.

• Implied via the bookies odds, Toronto Maple Leafs are favored to get the victory in regular time in this fixture with a 46.73% probability of winning. An accurate tip? Most likely, as Sportsbooks have their metrics figured out:
  Toronto Maple Leafs Regular Time → 2.14
  Montréal Canadiens Regular Time → 2.89
  Draw Regular Time → 4.40

  Prediction	Chance Of RT
  Toronto Maple Leafs	46.73 %
  Montréal Canadiens	34.6 %
  Draw	22.73 %
  Above is implied from odds. Login now to reveal our expert picks.

• Assessing the odds for player goal scoring suggests a likelihood of a 38.17% expectation of the player scoring higher than 0.5 goals, including extra time:
  Over 0.5 Player Goals (incl. OT) → 2.62

  Prediction	Chance Of O/U POG OT (0.5)
  Over	38.17 %
  Under	62.27 %
  Above is implied from odds. Login now to reveal our expert picks.

• Analyzing the odds for player performance indicates a likelihood of a 50.76% prediction of this player making over 1.5 shots on goal, including extra time:
  Over 1.5 Player Shots On Goal (incl. OT) → 1.97

  Prediction	Chance Of O/U SOG OT (1.5)
  Over	50.76 %
  Under	42.74 %
  Above is implied from odds. Login now to discover our expert picks.

• Analyzing the odds for shots on goal implies there is a 50.99% expectation of the player making more than 2.5 shots on goal, including overtime:
  Over 2.5 Player Shots On Goal (incl. OT) → 1.96

  Prediction	Chance Of O/U SOG OT (2.5)
  Over	50.99 %
  Under	55.96 %
  Above is calculated from odds. Login now to find out our expert predictions.

• Assessing the odds for total points indicates a likelihood of a 64.1% prediction of this match having over 5.5 total goals including extra time and penalties:
  Match Over 5.5 Total (incl. OT & penalties) → 1.56

  Prediction	Chance Of Total OT & Penalties (5.5)
  Over	64.1 %
  Under	39.22 %
  Above is calculated from odds. Login now to reveal our expert predictions.

• Assessing the odds for total points suggests a likelihood of a 53.19% prediction of this game having more than 6.5 total goals including extra time and penalties:
  Match Over 6.5 Total (incl. OT & penalties) → 1.88

  Prediction	Chance Of Total OT & Penalties (6.5)
  Over	53.19 %
  Under	49.26 %
  Above is calculated from odds. Login now to get our expert predictions.

• Evaluating the odds for total points implies there is a 32.68% prediction of this game having over 7.5 total goals including overtime and penalties:
  Match Over 7.5 Total (incl. OT & penalties) → 3.06

  Prediction	Chance Of Total OT & Penalties (7.5)
  Over	32.68 %
  Under	71.23 %
  Above is implied from odds. Login now to discover our expert picks.

• Assessing the odds for total points implies there is a 100% prediction of this match having over 1.5 total points:
  Match Over 1.5 Points → 1.00

  Prediction	Chance Of Total Over/Under (1.5)
  Over	100 %
  Under	100 %
  Above is calculated from odds. Login now to discover our expert picks.

• Evaluating the odds for total points indicates a likelihood of a 100% prediction of this game having more than 2.5 total points:
  Match Over 2.5 Points → 1.00

  Prediction	Chance Of Total Over/Under (2.5)
  Over	100 %
  Under	100 %
  Above is implied from odds. Login now to discover our expert picks.

• Analyzing the odds for points scored suggests a likelihood of a 90.91% expectation of this game having more than 3.5 total points scored:
  Match Over 3.5 Points → 1.10

  Prediction	Chance Of Total Over/Under (3.5)
  Over	90.91 %
  Under	14.29 %
  Above is implied from odds. Login now to reveal our expert picks.

• Analyzing the odds for points scored indicates there is a 64.1% prediction of this match having higher than 5.5 total points:
  Match Over 5.5 Points → 1.56

  Prediction	Chance Of Total Over/Under (5.5)
  Over	64.1 %
  Under	40.32 %
  Above is calculated from odds. Login now to reveal our expert picks.

• Assessing the odds for total goals implies there is a 25.64% prediction of this match having more than 8.5 total goals including extra time and penalties:
  Match Over 8.5 Total (incl. OT & penalties) → 3.90

  Prediction	Chance Of Total OT & Penalties (8.5)
  Over	25.64 %
  Under	80 %
  Above is implied from odds. Login now to reveal our expert predictions.

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Prediction Based On Head-to-Head: Toronto Maple Leafs to win

Head To Head: Toronto Maple Leafs (7 – 3) Montréal Canadiens.
Toronto Maple Leafs to win. The reason? Across the past 10 H2H matches between these teams, Toronto Maple Leafs are up 7 – 3. Our head to head analysis starts from the game between them in 2008. This implies that Toronto Maple Leafs should prevail in this scheduled clash. Their most recent meeting happened on the Sun, 23 Nov 25, when Montréal Canadiens got a 5 – 2 victory.

Will Montréal Canadiens break the pattern and win? The last match Montréal Canadiens got the better of Toronto Maple Leafs was on Sun, 23 Nov 25, indicating that they could come out on top.

Current Form Prediction: Toronto Maple Leafs to win

Examining team momentum heading into this fixture, Toronto Maple Leafs won facing Carolina Hurricanes with a result of 5-1. Montréal Canadiens got the win up against Winnipeg Jets with a result of 3-2. Toronto Maple Leafs have triumphed in 5 of their last 10 games in all competitions, while Montréal Canadiens triumphed in 4 of their recent 10 fixtures in all competitions, suggesting perhaps Toronto Maple Leafs are in better shape heading into this match.

Evaluating team trends reveals valuable information into momentum in order to make profitable wagers

Versus All Opponents Streaks:

• Toronto Maple Leafs: 3 Wins.
• Toronto Maple Leafs: First period winner in 4 of 5.
• Montréal Canadiens: More than 5.5 goals in 6 of 8.
• Montréal Canadiens: More than 1.5 goals in first period in 5 of 7.

Only H2H Streaks:

• Both teams: More than 5.5 goals in 5 of 6.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montréal Canadiens Best Sportsbook Odds For The Fixture

Winner (incl. overtime and penalties)

1W

1.729

2W

2.24

Regular Time Result

1W

2.14

2W

2.89

X

4.4

Over Under Player Goals (incl. overtime)

> 0.5

2.62

< 0.5

1.606

Over Under Player Shots On Goal (incl. overtime)

> 1.5

1.97

< 1.5

2.34

> 2.5

1.961

< 2.5

1.787

Total (incl. overtime and penalties)

> 5.5

1.56

< 5.5

2.55

> 6.5

1.88

< 6.5

2.03

> 7.5

3.06

< 7.5

1.404

> 8.5

3.9

< 8.5

1.25

Total

> 1.5

1

< 1.5

1

> 2.5

1

< 2.5

1

> 3.5

1.1

< 3.5

7

> 5.5

1.56

< 5.5

2.48

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montréal Canadiens Tips

Total (incl. overtime and penalties) 5.5 → Over would seem to be a profitable bet → 1.56