NHL Preview And Prediction: Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders Betting Tips & Picks December 7, 2025

Who The Odds Predict: Tampa Bay Lightning to come out on top

• Calculated from the bookies odds, Tampa Bay Lightning are the favorite to come out on top in this fixture with a 58.86% probability to win. An accurate prediction? Yes, as Bookies are rarely wrong:
  Tampa Bay Lightning → 1.70
  New York Islanders → 2.29

  Prediction	Chance Of Win
  Tampa Bay Lightning	58.86 %
  New York Islanders	43.67 %
  Above is implied from odds. Login now to reveal our expert predictions.

• Implied via the bookies odds, Tampa Bay Lightning are the pick to win in regular time in this match with a 48.31% chance of winning. A solid prediction? Yes, as Bookies do their analysis:
  Tampa Bay Lightning Regular Time → 2.07
  New York Islanders Regular Time → 3.02
  Draw Regular Time → 4.40

  Prediction	Chance Of RT
  Tampa Bay Lightning	48.31 %
  New York Islanders	33.11 %
  Draw	22.73 %
  Above is calculated from odds. Login now to discover our expert predictions.

• Analyzing the odds for player performance implies a likelihood of a 19.72% prediction of the player scoring over 0.5 goals, including extra time:
  Over 0.5 Player Goals (incl. OT) → 5.07

  Prediction	Chance Of O/U POG OT (0.5)
  Over	19.72 %
  Under	64.06 %
  Above is calculated from odds. Login now to reveal our expert picks.

• Evaluating the odds for player performance suggests there is a 54.56% expectation of the player making higher than 1.5 shots on goal, including extra time:
  Over 1.5 Player Shots On Goal (incl. OT) → 1.83

  Prediction	Chance Of O/U SOG OT (1.5)
  Over	54.56 %
  Under	42.37 %
  Above is calculated from odds. Login now to get our expert predictions.

• Analyzing the odds for shots on goal implies a likelihood of a 49.26% expectation of this player making more than 2.5 shots on goal, including overtime:
  Over 2.5 Player Shots On Goal (incl. OT) → 2.03

  Prediction	Chance Of O/U SOG OT (2.5)
  Over	49.26 %
  Under	54.76 %
  Above is calculated from odds. Login now to find out our expert predictions.

• Analyzing the odds for shots on goal implies a likelihood of a 44.64% prediction of this player making more than 3.5 shots on goal, including overtime:
  Over 3.5 Player Shots On Goal (incl. OT) → 2.24

  Prediction	Chance Of O/U SOG OT (3.5)
  Over	44.64 %
  Under	60.79 %
  Above is calculated from odds. Login now to get our expert predictions.

• Analyzing the odds for total goals implies there is a 58.34% prediction of this match having over 5.5 total points including extra time and penalties:
  Match Over 5.5 Total (incl. OT & penalties) → 1.71

  Prediction	Chance Of Total OT & Penalties (5.5)
  Over	58.34 %
  Under	44.84 %
  Above is calculated from odds. Login now to reveal our expert picks.

• Analyzing the odds for total points indicates there is a 46.73% prediction of this game having higher than 6.5 total points including extra time and penalties:
  Match Over 6.5 Total (incl. OT & penalties) → 2.14

  Prediction	Chance Of Total OT & Penalties (6.5)
  Over	46.73 %
  Under	56.5 %
  Above is calculated from odds. Login now to find out our expert predictions.

• Assessing the odds for total points indicates there is a 28.17% prediction of this game having more than 7.5 total goals including extra time and penalties:
  Match Over 7.5 Total (incl. OT & penalties) → 3.55

  Prediction	Chance Of Total OT & Penalties (7.5)
  Over	28.17 %
  Under	75.76 %
  Above is implied from odds. Login now to get our expert predictions.

• Assessing the odds for total points suggests a likelihood of a 19.05% prediction of this game having more than 8.5 total points including overtime and penalties:
  Match Over 8.5 Total (incl. OT & penalties) → 5.25

  Prediction	Chance Of Total OT & Penalties (8.5)
  Over	19.05 %
  Under	84.03 %
  Above is calculated from odds. Login now to find out our expert picks.

• Analyzing the odds for points scored indicates a likelihood of a 100% prediction of this match having higher than 1.5 total points scored:
  Match Over 1.5 Points → 1.00

  Prediction	Chance Of Total Over/Under (1.5)
  Over	100 %
  Under	100 %
  Above is implied from odds. Login now to reveal our expert predictions.

• Analyzing the odds for total points implies there is a 100% expectation of this game having more than 2.5 total points:
  Match Over 2.5 Points → 1.00

  Prediction	Chance Of Total Over/Under (2.5)
  Over	100 %
  Under	100 %
  Above is implied from odds. Login now to reveal our expert predictions.

• Assessing the odds for points scored suggests a likelihood of a 88.5% prediction of this match having more than 3.5 total points:
  Match Over 3.5 Points → 1.13

  Prediction	Chance Of Total Over/Under (3.5)
  Over	88.5 %
  Under	16.67 %
  Above is implied from odds. Login now to get our expert predictions.

• Analyzing the odds for points scored implies there is a 59.88% prediction of this match having over 5.5 total points scored:
  Match Over 5.5 Points → 1.67

  Prediction	Chance Of Total Over/Under (5.5)
  Over	59.88 %
  Under	44.84 %
  Above is calculated from odds. Login now to find out our expert picks.

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Prediction Based On Head-to-Head: Tampa Bay Lightning to win

Head To Head: Tampa Bay Lightning (6 – 4) New York Islanders.
Tampa Bay Lightning to win. Why? In the last 10 direct encounters between these two sides, Tampa Bay Lightning are ahead 6 – 4. Our H2H analysis starts from the encounter they had in 2008. This suggests that Tampa Bay Lightning should get the victory in this scheduled clash. The last meeting was on the Wed, 03 Dec 25, where New York Islanders got a 2 – 1 victory.

Will New York Islanders break the pattern and win? The most recent game New York Islanders got the better of Tampa Bay Lightning occurred on Wed, 03 Dec 25, indicating that they are not without hope.

Current Form Prediction: Tampa Bay Lightning to prevail

Analyzing team momentum before this match, Tampa Bay Lightning suffered a defeat against Pittsburgh Penguins with a result of 3-4. New York Islanders got the win versus Colorado Avalanche with a result of 6-3. Tampa Bay Lightning have prevailed in 7 of their recent 10 matches vs all teams, while New York Islanders prevailed in 5 of their last 10 matches in all competitions, indicating perhaps Tampa Bay Lightning are in the better form heading into this match.

Evaluating team streaks provides crucial information into current form so we can make winning wagers

Specific Head-2-Head Streaks:

• Both teams: More than 1.5 goals in first period in 5 of 7.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders Top Sportsbook Odds For The Game

Winner (incl. overtime and penalties)

1W

1.699

2W

2.29

Regular Time Result

1W

2.07

2W

3.02

X

4.4

Over Under Player Goals (incl. overtime)

> 0.5

5.07

< 0.5

1.561

Over Under Player Shots On Goal (incl. overtime)

> 1.5

1.833

< 1.5

2.36

> 2.5

2.03

< 2.5

1.826

> 3.5

2.24

< 3.5

1.645

Total (incl. overtime and penalties)

> 5.5

1.714

< 5.5

2.23

> 6.5

2.14

< 6.5

1.77

> 7.5

3.55

< 7.5

1.32

> 8.5

5.25

< 8.5

1.19

Total

> 1.5

1

< 1.5

1

> 2.5

1

< 2.5

1

> 3.5

1.13

< 3.5

6

> 5.5

1.67

< 5.5

2.23

Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders Tips

Total 3.5 → Over appears a reasonable gamble → 1.13