Get all the data around betting market for the Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors clash for the NBA, Playoffs 24/25 on the May 5, 2025, in the following analysis. We uncover the Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors picks, best bets & odds for this contest in the breakdown below.
Forecast Based On Odds: Houston Rockets to triumph
- Derived via the bookies odds, Houston Rockets are the pick to win in this fixture with a 56.34% probability to win. Is this accurate? Most likely, because Sportsbooks know their calculations:
Houston Rockets → 1.77
Golden State Warriors → 2.17Prediction Chance Of Win Houston Rockets 51.92 % Golden State Warriors 48.08 % Above is calculated from odds. Login now to find out our expert predictions.
- Assessing the odds for total points suggests there is a 55.95 % expectation of this match having over 200.5 total points scored:
Match Over 200.5 Points → 1.68Prediction Chance Of O/U (incl. OT) (200.5) Over 55.95 % Under 44.05 % Above is implied from odds. Login now to find out our expert picks.
- Analyzing the odds for total points suggests a likelihood of a 50.74% prediction of this game having over 205.5 total points:
Match Over 205.5 Points → 1.85Prediction Chance Of O/U (incl. OT) (205.5) Under 49.26 % Over 50.74% Above is implied from odds. Login now to get our expert predictions.
- Implied from the sportsbook odds, Houston Rockets are the pick to be ahead at halftime in this game with a 51.92% probability of winning the first half. A reliable forecast? Most likely, because Bookmakers produce sharp predictions:
Houston Rockets First Half → 1.76
Golden State Warriors First Half → 2.17Prediction Chance Of 1H Winner Houston Rockets 51.92% Golden State Warriors 48.08 % Above is implied from odds. Login now to find out our expert predictions.
- Analyzing the odds for points scored in the first half indicates a likelihood of a 55.75 % expectation of this match having more than 98.5 total points in the first half:
First Half Over 98.5 Points → 1.69Prediction Chance Of O/U 1H Points (98.5) Under 44.25 % Over 55.75 % Above is calculated from odds. Login now to reveal our expert predictions.
- Assessing the odds for points scored in the first half implies there is a 51.92 % prediction of this match having over 99.5 total points in the first half:
First Half Over 99.5 Points → 1.82Prediction Chance Of O/U 1H Points (99.5) Over 51.92 % Under 48.08 % Above is calculated from odds. Login now to reveal our expert picks.
- Assessing the odds for points scored in the first half suggests there is a 48.29 % expectation of this match having more than 100.5 total points scored in the first half:
First Half Over 100.5 Points → 1.95Prediction Chance Of O/U 1H Points (100.5) Over 48.29 % Under 51.71 % Above is calculated from odds. Login now to reveal our expert predictions.
- Assessing the odds for points scored in the first half suggests a likelihood of a 47.85% expectation of this game having higher than 101.5 total points scored in the first half:
First Half Over 101.5 Points → 2.09Prediction Chance Of O/U 1H Points (101.5) Under 52.15 % Over 47.85 % Above is calculated from odds. Login now to get our expert predictions.
- Analyzing the odds for first half total points implies a likelihood of a 44.64% prediction of this game having more than 102.5 total points scored in the first half:
First Half Over 102.5 Points → 2.24Prediction Chance Of O/U 1H Points (102.5) Over 41.14 % Under 58.86 % Above is calculated from odds. Login now to reveal our expert predictions.
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H2H-Based Prediction: Too even to call it
| Team | Head-To-Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Houston Rockets | 5 |
| Golden State Warriors | 5 |
Head-2-Head: Houston Rockets (5 – 5) Golden State Warriors.
It’s too close to call! Who’s got the edge? In the last 10 direct fixtures between these teams, both teams stand level. Our head to head data goes back to the encounter they had in 2008. This implies that the upcoming battle is too close to call. Their most recent meeting took place on the Sat, 03 May 25, where Houston Rockets secured a 115 – 107 win.
Is this the match that sets them apart? Both Houston Rockets and Golden State Warriors share the same number of wins. This next clash will be a battle for dominance.
Current Form Prediction: Golden State Warriors to prevail
The Houston Rockets enter this game with the momentum of having won their last two matchups against the Golden State Warriors, the most recent being a 115-107 victory. Additionally, playing at home gives the Rockets a favorable advantage, further boosting their confidence.
However, when analyzing playoff comebacks, statistics show that teams with a 3-1 series lead have gone on to win 95.6% of the time (280 instances), while only 4.4% (13 teams) have recovered from a 1-3 deficit. The Warriors’ experience in high-stakes games also leans in their favor: they hold a 6-5 all-time record in Game 7s, and Stephen Curry, their offensive engine, has a 3-2 career record in such games, averaging 30.8 PPG, 7.0 RPG, and 7.0 APG while shooting 47.1% FG, 42.1% 3P, and 92.6% FT in those eliminations.
Despite Houston’s recent surge, Golden State’s veteran composure, superior offensive versatility, and the Rockets’ recurring struggles to sustain elite scoring efficiency tilt the scale slightly toward the Warriors. The home crowd may energize Houston, but Golden State’s proven ability to elevate in do-or-die scenarios—coupled with Curry’s clutch genne—adds a critical layer of pressure.
Analysing team trends gives us interesting insight into momentum so you can place the best wagers
Versus All Opponents Streaks:
- Houston Rockets: First half winner in 5 of 5.
- Golden State Warriors: First half loser in 5 of 5.
- Houston Rockets: First quarter winner in 5 of 6.
- Golden State Warriors: First quarter loser in 5 of 6.
- Both teams: 108 points scored average in last 10 games.
- Houston Rockets: 220 points average in last 10 games.
- Golden State Warriors: 216 points average in last 10 games.
Exact H2H Streaks:
- Houston Rockets: First half winner in 5 of 5.
- Golden State Warriors: First half loser in 5 of 5.
- Houston Rockets: First quarter winner in 5 of 6.
- Golden State Warriors: First quarter loser in 5 of 6.
- Houston Rockets: 106 points scored average in last 10 games.
- Golden State Warriors: 110 points scored average in last 10 games.
- Both teams: 217 points average in last 10 games.
Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Best Betting Odds For The Match
Winner (incl. overtime)
Over Under (incl. overtime)
First Half Winner
Over Under First Half
Over Under Player 3 Point FG (incl. overtime)
Over Under Player Assists (incl. overtime)
Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Tips
Over Under First Half 98.5 → Over would seem to be a profitable punt → 1.69
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