Ligue 1 Preview And Prediction: Auxerre vs Metz Betting Tips & Picks December 7, 2025

Prediction Based On Odds: Metz to secure the win

• Derived from the sportsbook odds, Draw are the pick to win in this fixture with a 27.4% chance to win. An accurate prediction? Most likely, because Oddsmakers are skilled at predicting:
  Auxerre → 4.35
  Metz → 4.02

  Prediction	Chance Of Win
  Auxerre	22.99 %
  Metz	24.88 %
  Draw	27.4 %
  Above is calculated from odds. Login now to get our expert picks.

• Calculated probability based on the odds, further suggests a likelihood of a 53.71% probability of both Auxerre and Metz to score (BTTS):
  Both Teams To Score Yes → 1.86

  Prediction	Chance Of BTTS
  Yes	53.71 %
  No	49.26 %
  Above is calculated from odds. Login now to reveal our expert predictions.

• Assessing the odds for goal count implies there is a 75.76% expectation of this game having higher than 1.5 total goals:
  Match Over 1.5 Goals → 1.32

  Prediction	Chance Of O/U FT (1.5)
  Over	75.76 %
  Under	26.67 %
  Above is implied from odds. Login now to get our expert picks.

• Evaluating the odds for goal count suggests there is a 49.26% expectation of this match having more than 2.5 total goals scored:
  Match Over 2.5 Goals → 2.03

  Prediction	Chance Of O/U FT (2.5)
  Over	49.26 %
  Under	52.91 %
  Above is implied from odds. Login now to discover our expert predictions.

• Evaluating the odds for Draw No Bet implies a likelihood of 34.36% expectation that Metz will get the victory in this match. Odds for:
  Metz → 2.91

  Prediction	Chance Of Draw No Bet
  Auxerre	32.79 %
  Metz	34.36 %
  Above is calculated from odds. Login now to discover our expert predictions.

• Evaluating the odds for goal count implies a likelihood of 33.44% prediction that this match will have more than 1.5 goals in the first half:
  Match Over 1.5 Goals → 2.99

  Prediction	Chance Of O/U 1H (1.5)
  Over	33.44 %
  Under	70.42 %
  Above is implied from odds. Login now to reveal our expert predictions.

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H2H-Based Prediction: Auxerre to win

Head To Head: Auxerre (6 – 2) Metz.
Auxerre to win. Why? For the most recent 10 H2H encounters between these teams, Auxerre have the edge 6 – 2. Our H2H analysis goes back to the match between them in 1992. This suggests that Auxerre are likely to prevail in this upcoming match. The last game took place on the Fri, 09 Dec 22, where Auxerre got a 5 – 1 victory.

Can Metz reverse the trend and overcome the H2H stats? The most recent time Metz defeated Auxerre was on Sat, 26 Apr 14, indicating that they are not without hope.

Current Form Prediction: Metz to prevail

Analyzing team momentum heading into this match, Auxerre played out a draw vs Paris FC with a score of 1-1. Metz were beaten up against Stade Rennais with a result of 0-1. Auxerre have won 1 of their last 10 fixtures in all competitions, whereas Metz got the victory in 3 of their last 10 games versus all opponents, indicating perhaps Metz have an edge heading into this match.

A comparison of team streaks shows crucial information into current form so we can find out the best wagers

Against All Teams Streaks:

• Auxerre: No wins in the last 9 matches.
• Metz: Without clean sheet in the last 3 matches.
• Auxerre: Less than 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 6 matches.
• Auxerre: First to concede in 5 of the last 6 matches.
• Metz: First to concede in 6 of the last 8 matches.
• Auxerre: Less than 4.5 cards in 4 of the last 5 matches.
• Both teams: Less than 10.5 corners in 8 of the last 10 matches.

Exact H2H Streaks:

• Auxerre: 8 No losses.
• Auxerre: First to score in 6 of the last 8 matches.
• Auxerre: First half winner in 6 of the last 8 matches.
• Both teams: Less than 4.5 cards in 6 of the last 6 matches.

Auxerre vs Metz Best Bookie Odds For The Fixture

Full Time Result

1W

4.35

2W

4.02

X

3.65

Both Teams To Score

Yes

1.862

No

2.03

Over Under Full Time

> 1.5

1.32

< 1.5

3.75

> 2.5

2.03

< 2.5

1.89

Asian Handicap && -1.5

1W -1.5

3.81

2W -1.5

1.301

Draw No Bet

1W

3.05

2W

2.91

Over Under First Half

> 1.5

2.99

< 1.5

1.42

Over Under Second Half

> 1.5

2.12

< 1.5

1.66

Auxerre vs Metz Tips

Draw No Bet → Metz stands out as a fair stake → 2.91