Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid: Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Stats (Sun, 09 Nov '25)

Wojtek Kolan

Wojtek Kolan

Published on 02 Nov, 03:31 AM UTC

Next Match 09/11/25 at 03:15 PM

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid
📍 Estadio de Vallecas, Spain.

Scheduled H2H Match For Rayo Vallecano Vs Real Madrid

LaLiga

Sun, 09 Nov 2025 at 03:15 PM UTC

Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano

ESP ESP

Recent Form

L
W
W
W
L
Real Madrid
Real Madrid

ESP ESP

Recent Form

L
W
W
W
W

2

Win

Last 10 Played

10
3 Draws

5

Win

6.76
Avg. Rating
7.10
12
Position
1
Iñigo Pérez
Manager
Xabi Alonso

Game Schedule - Time Of Fixture

Rayo Vallecano will square off vs Real Madrid in LaLiga on Sun, 09 Nov 2025 at 03:15 PM UTC. Let’s investigate historical performances, recent stats and head-2-head information to find out the most accurate picks and best bets.

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid Prediction

Based on the indicated possibility from the moneyline, Real Madrid have a 65.32% to get the victory. Implicit probability from the odds, also shows there is a 58.82% possibility of BTTS. Join the football picks club to find out implicit vs actual predictions to today’s highly profitable bets in order to see the best bets Matchstat.com football predictions premium plan to reveal implied vs our expert predictions to value bets so you can unlock winning bets

PredictionChance to win
Rayo Vallecano17.83 %
Real Madrid65.32 %
Draw20.83 %

Above win % is implied from odds. Login / Signup to reveal our expert predictions.

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid H2H Game Summary

For the last 10 H2H fixtures for these competitors, Rayo Vallecano have got the victory 2 times and Real Madrid have come out on top on 5 occasion.


Head-to-Head (Last 10 Matches)
Rayo Vallecano2
Draw3
Real Madrid5

Rayo Vallecano Vs Real Madrid Performance stats

Editorial Prediction:

The upcoming LaLiga match between Rayo Vallecano and Real Madrid is set to take place on Sunday, November 9, 2025, at the Estadio de Vallecas in Spain. In their previous three encounters, Rayo Vallecano have been unable to secure a win, whereas Real Madrid have triumphed once, with the remaining two games resulting in a draw.

In their last meeting on March 9, 2025, Real Madrid managed a 2-1 victory over Rayo Vallecano as the home team. Heading into this match, Rayo Vallecano recently suffered a 0-4 defeat against Villarreal, contrasting with Real Madrid's convincing 4-0 victory over Valencia. In their respective domestic league standings, Rayo Vallecano hold the 9th position, while Real Madrid command the top spot.

Player performance comparisons highlight: Real Madrid will need to pay close attention to Jorge de Frutos, Rayo Vallecano's leading scorer this season with 4 goals. Conversely, Rayo Vallecano must ensure A. Güler is well-marked, given his 5 assists for Real Madrid. Rayo Vallecano's standout players include Jorge de Frutos with a rating of 7.26, Augusto Batalla at 7.06, and Pathé Ismaël Ciss at 7.05.

For Real Madrid: Kylian Mbappé tops their player ratings with a score of 8.09, followed by Vinícius Júnior at 7.5, and Éder Militão at 7.48. This season, Rayo Vallecano maintain an average possession percentage of 53.27%, while Real Madrid boast a higher rate of 61%. Moreover, Rayo Vallecano average 6.27 corners per match, with Real Madrid slightly trailing at 5.91.

Disciplinary statistics for the current season reveal that Rayo Vallecano have accumulated 25 yellow cards, 1 red card, and conceded 1 penalty goal. In comparison, Real Madrid have 21 yellow cards, 1 red card, and have also conceded 1 penalty goal.

Taking into account current form and statistical analyses, Real Madrid appear to have the upper hand and are likely to emerge victorious in this encounter.

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid Best Odds For The Match

Full Time Result
1W
5.61
2W
1.531
X
4.8
Both Teams To Score
Yes
1.7
No
2.35
Over Under Full Time
> 2.5
1.57
< 2.5
2.55
> 1.5
1.16
< 1.5
5.6
Draw No Bet
1W
4.95
2W
1.204
Over Under First Half
> 1.5
2.43
< 1.5
1.62
Over Under Second Half
> 1.5
1.78
< 1.5
1.95

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid Past H2H Matches

8
LaLiga
03:15 PM
09/11/25
2818
Rayo Vallecano
2829
Real Madrid
03:15 PM
09/03/25
2829
Real Madrid
2
2818
Rayo Vallecano
1
08:00 PM
14/12/24
2818
Rayo Vallecano
3
2829
Real Madrid
3
01:00 PM
18/02/24
2818
Rayo Vallecano
1
2829
Real Madrid
1
08:00 PM
05/11/23
2829
Real Madrid
0
2818
Rayo Vallecano
0
05:30 PM
24/05/23
2829
Real Madrid
2
2818
Rayo Vallecano
1
08:00 PM
07/11/22
2818
Rayo Vallecano
3
2829
Real Madrid
2
05:30 PM
26/02/22
2818
Rayo Vallecano
0
2829
Real Madrid
1
08:00 PM
06/11/21
2829
Real Madrid
2
2818
Rayo Vallecano
1
06:45 PM
28/04/19
2818
Rayo Vallecano
1
2829
Real Madrid
0
05:30 PM
15/12/18
2829
Real Madrid
1
2818
Rayo Vallecano
0
02:00 PM
23/04/16
2818
Rayo Vallecano
2
2829
Real Madrid
3
03:00 PM
20/12/15
2829
Real Madrid
10
2818
Rayo Vallecano
2
08:00 PM
08/04/15
2818
Rayo Vallecano
0
2829
Real Madrid
2
07:00 PM
08/11/14
2829
Real Madrid
5
2818
Rayo Vallecano
1
09:00 PM
29/03/14
2829
Real Madrid
5
2818
Rayo Vallecano
0
07:00 PM
02/11/13
2818
Rayo Vallecano
2
2829
Real Madrid
3
08:00 PM
17/02/13
2829
Real Madrid
2
2818
Rayo Vallecano
0
05:45 PM
24/09/12
2818
Rayo Vallecano
0
2829
Real Madrid
2
03:00 PM
26/02/12
2818
Rayo Vallecano
0
2829
Real Madrid
1
06:00 PM
24/09/11
2829
Real Madrid
6
2818
Rayo Vallecano
2
05:00 PM
05/04/03
2829
Real Madrid
3
2818
Rayo Vallecano
1
07:00 PM
09/11/02
2818
Rayo Vallecano
2
2829
Real Madrid
3
04:00 PM
06/04/02
2829
Real Madrid
3
2818
Rayo Vallecano
1
05:00 PM
25/11/01
2818
Rayo Vallecano
0
2829
Real Madrid
3
04:00 PM
20/05/01
2818
Rayo Vallecano
0
2829
Real Madrid
1
05:00 PM
19/12/00
2829
Real Madrid
3
2818
Rayo Vallecano
1
05:00 PM
25/03/00
2829
Real Madrid
0
2818
Rayo Vallecano
0
05:00 PM
06/11/99
2818
Rayo Vallecano
2
2829
Real Madrid
3
05:00 PM
19/02/97
2818
Rayo Vallecano
1
2829
Real Madrid
0
04:00 PM
22/09/96
2829
Real Madrid
1
2818
Rayo Vallecano
0
05:00 PM
21/01/96
2829
Real Madrid
1
2818
Rayo Vallecano
2
04:00 PM
03/09/95
2818
Rayo Vallecano
1
2829
Real Madrid
5
05:00 PM
13/03/94
2829
Real Madrid
5
2818
Rayo Vallecano
2
05:00 PM
31/10/93
2818
Rayo Vallecano
0
2829
Real Madrid
2
12:00 PM
09/05/93
2829
Real Madrid
1
2818
Rayo Vallecano
1
12:00 PM
06/12/92
2818
Rayo Vallecano
2
2829
Real Madrid
0
853
Club Friendly Games
06:00 PM
09/09/20
2829
Real Madrid
2818
Rayo Vallecano

Head To Head Streaks

2829
No losses
5
(Both)
Without clean sheet
3
(Both)
Both teams scoring
5/6
(Both)
More than 4.5 cards
5/7

Team Streaks

2818
Without clean sheet
3
2818
More than 2.5 goals
5/6
2829
First to score
6/7
2818
Less than 4.5 cards
6/8
2818
More than 10.5 corners
8/10
2829
Less than 10.5 corners
8/10

Rayo Vallecano Recent Matches

17015
UEFA Conference League (5 Matches)
08:00 PM
06/11/25
2818
Rayo Vallecano
3
3121
Lech Poznań
2
W
04:45 PM
23/10/25
1760
BK Häcken
2
2818
Rayo Vallecano
2
D
04:45 PM
02/10/25
2818
Rayo Vallecano
2
5413
KF Shkëndija
0
W
06:00 PM
28/08/25
2818
Rayo Vallecano
4
3356
Neman Grodno
0
W
06:00 PM
21/08/25
3356
Neman Grodno
0
2818
Rayo Vallecano
1
W
8
LaLiga (20 Matches)
01:00 PM
01/11/25
2819
Villarreal
4
2818
Rayo Vallecano
0
L
08:00 PM
26/10/25
2818
Rayo Vallecano
1
2885
Deportivo Alavés
0
W
04:30 PM
19/10/25
2849
Levante UD
0
2818
Rayo Vallecano
3
W
04:30 PM
05/10/25
2824
Real Sociedad
0
2818
Rayo Vallecano
1
W
12:00 PM
28/09/25
2818
Rayo Vallecano
0
2833
Sevilla
1
L
07:30 PM
24/09/25
2836
Atlético Madrid
3
2818
Rayo Vallecano
2
L
12:00 PM
21/09/25
2818
Rayo Vallecano
1
2821
Celta Vigo
1
D
04:30 PM
14/09/25
2820
Osasuna
2
2818
Rayo Vallecano
0
L
07:30 PM
31/08/25
2818
Rayo Vallecano
1
2817
Barcelona
1
D
05:30 PM
25/08/25
2825
Athletic Club
1
2818
Rayo Vallecano
0
L
05:00 PM
15/08/25
24264
Girona FC
1
2818
Rayo Vallecano
3
W
07:00 PM
24/05/25
2818
Rayo Vallecano
0
2826
Mallorca
0
D
05:00 PM
18/05/25
2821
Celta Vigo
1
2818
Rayo Vallecano
2
W
05:00 PM
15/05/25
2818
Rayo Vallecano
2
2816
Real Betis
2
D
07:00 PM
09/05/25
6577
Las Palmas
0
2818
Rayo Vallecano
1
W
07:00 PM
02/05/25
2818
Rayo Vallecano
1
2859
Getafe
0
W
07:30 PM
24/04/25
2836
Atlético Madrid
3
2818
Rayo Vallecano
0
L
12:00 PM
19/04/25
2818
Rayo Vallecano
1
2828
Valencia
1
D
07:00 PM
13/04/25
2825
Athletic Club
3
2818
Rayo Vallecano
1
L
07:00 PM
04/04/25
2818
Rayo Vallecano
0
2814
Espanyol
4
L
329
Copa del Rey (1 Matches)
08:00 PM
29/10/25
262560
CD Yuncos
1
2818
Rayo Vallecano
6
W
853
Club Friendly Games (4 Matches)
03:30 PM
10/08/25
41
Sunderland
0
2818
Rayo Vallecano
3
W
12:00 PM
02/08/25
8
West Bromwich Albion
3
2818
Rayo Vallecano
2
L
01:00 PM
26/07/25
2971
PEC Zwolle
0
2818
Rayo Vallecano
5
W
04:30 PM
19/07/25
2890
KRC Genk
1
2818
Rayo Vallecano
1
D

Real Madrid Recent Matches

7
UEFA Champions League (4 Matches)
08:00 PM
04/11/25
44
Liverpool
1
2829
Real Madrid
0
L
07:00 PM
22/10/25
2829
Real Madrid
1
2687
Juventus
0
W
04:45 PM
30/09/25
5172
Kairat Almaty
0
2829
Real Madrid
5
W
07:00 PM
16/09/25
2829
Real Madrid
2
1641
Olympique de Marseille
1
W
8
LaLiga (18 Matches)
08:00 PM
01/11/25
2829
Real Madrid
4
2828
Valencia
0
W
03:15 PM
26/10/25
2829
Real Madrid
2
2817
Barcelona
1
W
07:00 PM
19/10/25
2859
Getafe
0
2829
Real Madrid
1
W
07:00 PM
04/10/25
2829
Real Madrid
3
2819
Villarreal
1
W
02:15 PM
27/09/25
2836
Atlético Madrid
5
2829
Real Madrid
2
L
07:30 PM
23/09/25
2849
Levante UD
1
2829
Real Madrid
4
W
02:15 PM
20/09/25
2829
Real Madrid
2
2814
Espanyol
0
W
02:15 PM
13/09/25
2824
Real Sociedad
1
2829
Real Madrid
2
W
07:30 PM
30/08/25
2829
Real Madrid
2
2826
Mallorca
1
W
07:30 PM
24/08/25
2851
Real Oviedo
0
2829
Real Madrid
3
W
07:00 PM
19/08/25
2829
Real Madrid
1
2820
Osasuna
0
W
02:15 PM
24/05/25
2829
Real Madrid
2
2824
Real Sociedad
0
W
05:00 PM
18/05/25
2833
Sevilla
0
2829
Real Madrid
2
W
07:30 PM
14/05/25
2829
Real Madrid
2
2826
Mallorca
1
W
02:15 PM
11/05/25
2817
Barcelona
4
2829
Real Madrid
3
L
12:00 PM
04/05/25
2829
Real Madrid
3
2821
Celta Vigo
2
W
07:30 PM
23/04/25
2859
Getafe
0
2829
Real Madrid
1
W
07:00 PM
20/04/25
2829
Real Madrid
1
2825
Athletic Club
0
W
853
Club Friendly Games (1 Matches)
05:00 PM
12/08/25
5405
WSG Tirol
0
2829
Real Madrid
4
W
357
FIFA Club World Cup (6 Matches)
07:10 PM
09/07/25
1644
Paris Saint-Germain
4
2829
Real Madrid
0
L
08:00 PM
05/07/25
2829
Real Madrid
3
2673
Borussia Dortmund
2
W
07:00 PM
01/07/25
2829
Real Madrid
1
2687
Juventus
0
W
01:00 AM
27/06/25
2046
Red Bull Salzburg
0
2829
Real Madrid
3
W
07:00 PM
22/06/25
2829
Real Madrid
3
1936
CF Pachuca
1
W
07:00 PM
18/06/25
2829
Real Madrid
1
21895
Al-Hilal
1
D
329
Copa del Rey (1 Matches)
08:00 PM
26/04/25
2817
Barcelona
3
2829
Real Madrid
2
L

Rayo Vallecano Next Fixtures

Real Madrid Next Fixtures

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid H2H Recent Match Played Stats

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid

Final Score : -

Rayo Vallecano (H)Match overviewReal Madrid (A)
51%Ball possession49%
0.12Expected goals0.34
0Big chances1
3Total shots3
2Goalkeeper saves1
1Corner kicks2
2Fouls2
123Passes118
7Tackles4
2Free kicks2
1Yellow cards0
Rayo Vallecano (H)ShotsReal Madrid (A)
3Total shots3
1Shots on target2
0Hit woodwork0
1Shots off target1
1Blocked shots0
1Shots inside box2
2Shots outside box1
Rayo Vallecano (H)AttackReal Madrid (A)
0Big chances missed1
2Touches in penalty area9
1Fouled in final third0
0Offsides1
Rayo Vallecano (H)PassesReal Madrid (A)
105Accurate passes97
5Throw-ins3
15Final third entries11
18/29 (62%)Final third phase23/34 (68%)
7/15 (47%)Long balls6/12 (50%)
1/6 (17%)Crosses2/4 (50%)
Rayo Vallecano (H)DuelsReal Madrid (A)
46%Duels54%
3Dispossessed3
12/25 (48%)Ground duels13/25 (52%)
1/3 (33%)Aerial duels2/3 (67%)
3/4 (75%)Dribbles7/11 (64%)
Rayo Vallecano (H)DefendingReal Madrid (A)
71%Tackles won0%
7Total tackles4
2Interceptions4
16Recoveries15
5Clearances8
Rayo Vallecano (H)GoalkeepingReal Madrid (A)
2Total saves1
0.86Goals prevented0.11
1Big saves0
1Goal kicks5

Rayo Vallecano Last Match Played stats

Rayo Vallecano vs Lech Poznań

Final Score :3 - 2

(H)Match overview (A)
65%Ball possession35%
3.66Expected goals0.38
5Big chances0
29Total shots9
1Goalkeeper saves3
7Corner kicks6
8Fouls1
578Passes312
18Tackles15
1Free kicks8
4Yellow cards1
(H)Shots (A)
29Total shots9
6Shots on target3
1Hit woodwork0
13Shots off target2
10Blocked shots4
19Shots inside box4
10Shots outside box5
(H)Attack (A)
3Big chances scored0
2Big chances missed0
1Through balls1
48Touches in penalty area13
0Fouled in final third1
0Offsides2
(H)Passes (A)
498Accurate passes237
28Throw-ins17
122Final third entries30
206/261 (79%)Final third phase42/68 (62%)
39/62 (63%)Long balls15/43 (35%)
12/41 (29%)Crosses4/13 (31%)
(H)Duels (A)
49%Duels51%
8Dispossessed7
26/53 (49%)Ground duels27/53 (51%)
8/16 (50%)Aerial duels8/16 (50%)
7/14 (50%)Dribbles4/15 (27%)
(H)Defending (A)
78%Tackles won67%
18Total tackles15
10Interceptions13
54Recoveries49
18Clearances41
0Errors lead to a goal1
(H)Goalkeeping (A)
1Total saves3
-1.23Goals prevented0.91
0High claims1
1Punches1
5Goal kicks15

Real Madrid Last Match Played stats

Liverpool vs Real Madrid

Final Score :1 - 0

(H)Match overview (A)
39%Ball possession61%
111.4 kmDistance covered112.7 km
2.51Expected goals0.45
4Big chances1
17Total shots8
2Goalkeeper saves8
116Number of sprints152
4Corner kicks2
16Fouls11
332Passes531
13Tackles18
11Free kicks16
1Yellow cards4
(H)Shots (A)
17Total shots8
9Shots on target2
0Hit woodwork0
3Shots off target4
5Blocked shots2
9Shots inside box3
8Shots outside box5
(H)Attack (A)
1Big chances scored0
3Big chances missed1
29Touches in penalty area25
5Fouled in final third2
2Offsides0
(H)Passes (A)
256Accurate passes461
22Throw-ins11
53Final third entries65
83/124 (67%)Final third phase137/171 (80%)
14/45 (31%)Long balls15/38 (39%)
5/12 (42%)Crosses0/8 (0%)
(H)Duels (A)
45%Duels55%
5Dispossessed8
36/82 (44%)Ground duels46/82 (56%)
10/20 (50%)Aerial duels10/20 (50%)
12/25 (48%)Dribbles12/17 (71%)
(H)Defending (A)
62%Tackles won72%
13Total tackles18
12Interceptions6
48Recoveries50
9Clearances29
0Errors lead to a shot1
(H)Goalkeeping (A)
2Total saves8
0.22Goals prevented0.76
0Big saves3
10Goal kicks4

Rayo Vallecano Vs Real Madrid Season Stats

Rayo VallecanoPerformance SummaryReal Madrid
11Matches11
12Goals Scored26
14Goals Conceded10
1.09Goals per Game2.36
1.27Goals Conceded per Game0.91
4.27Shots on Target per Game7.55
2.64Big Chances per Game3.55
53.27%Ball Possession61.00%
3Clean Sheets5
17.64Tackles per Game18.18
2Penalty Goals Conceded2
13.36Fouls per Game10.45
2Offsides per Game1.91
8.73Goal Kicks per Game5.64
19.09Throw-ins per Game17.18
2.27Yellow Cards per Game1.91
1Red Cards2

LaLiga 25/26 Standings

POSTEAMMPWLDPTS
1Real MadridReal Madrid11101030
2VillarrealVillarreal1282226
3BarcelonaBarcelona1182125
4Atlético MadridAtlético Madrid1271425
5Real BetisReal Betis1152419
6EspanyolEspanyol1254318
7GetafeGetafe1154217
8Athletic ClubAthletic Club1255217
9SevillaSevilla1256116
10Deportivo AlavésDeportivo Alavés1245315
11ElcheElche1233615
12Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano1145214
13Celta VigoCelta Vigo1122713
14Real SociedadReal Sociedad1235413
15OsasunaOsasuna1237211
16Girona FCGirona FC1226410
17Levante UDLevante UD122739
18MallorcaMallorca112639
19ValenciaValencia112639
20Real OviedoReal Oviedo122828
Champions League
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation

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