Championship Preview And Prediction: Swansea City vs Derby County Betting Tips & Picks November 25, 2025

Prediction Based On Odds: Swansea City to triumph

• Calculated via the bookies odds, Swansea City are the pick to come out on top in this fixture with a 44.84% probability to win. Is this accurate? Yes, as Sportsbooks have their metrics figured out:
  Swansea City → 2.23
  Derby County → 3.72

  Prediction	Chance Of Win
  Swansea City	44.84 %
  Derby County	26.88 %
  Draw	31.25 %
  Above is calculated from odds. Login now to discover our expert picks.

• Calculated likelihood from the odds, further suggests there is a 47.85% probability that both Swansea City and Derby County to score (BTTS):
  Both Teams To Score Yes → 2.09

  Prediction	Chance Of BTTS
  Yes	47.85 %
  No	56.15 %
  Above is calculated from odds. Login now to get our expert predictions.

• Analyzing the odds for goal count implies there is a 66.67% expectation of this game having more than 1.5 total goals:
  Match Over 1.5 Goals → 1.50

  Prediction	Chance Of O/U FT (1.5)
  Over	66.67 %
  Under	35.71 %
  Above is implied from odds. Login now to find out our expert picks.

• Evaluating the odds for goal count implies there is a 39.37% expectation of this match having more than 2.5 total goals:
  Match Over 2.5 Goals → 2.54

  Prediction	Chance Of O/U FT (2.5)
  Over	39.37 %
  Under	64.31 %
  Above is calculated from odds. Login now to reveal our expert picks.

• Evaluating the odds for Draw No Bet suggests a likelihood of 65.32% prediction that Swansea City will come out on top in this match. Odds for:
  Swansea City → 1.531

  Prediction	Chance Of Draw No Bet
  Swansea City	65.32 %
  Derby County	38.61 %
  Above is implied from odds. Login now to reveal our expert predictions.

• Analyzing the odds for total goals suggests a likelihood of 29.41% expectation that this match will have more than 1.5 goals in the first half:
  Match Over 1.5 Goals → 3.40

  Prediction	Chance Of O/U 1H (1.5)
  Over	29.41 %
  Under	77.52 %
  Above is calculated from odds. Login now to reveal our expert predictions.

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Prediction Based On Head-to-Head: Swansea City to win

Head-2-Head: Swansea City (4 – 3) Derby County.
Swansea City to win. The reason? In the last 10 direct matches between them, Swansea City are winning 4 – 3. Our head to head data starts from the encounter they had in 2008. This indicates that Swansea City are likely to prevail in this scheduled game. Their most recent meeting took place on the Sat, 05 Apr 25, where Swansea City got a 1 – 0 victory.

Will Derby County break the pattern and win? The most recent game Derby County won against Swansea City was on Wed, 16 Dec 20, proving that they could come out on top.

Prediction Based On Recent Form: Derby County to get the victory

Analyzing recent form heading into this match, Swansea City suffered a defeat versus Bristol City with a result of 0-3. Derby County suffered a defeat up against Watford with a score of 2-3. Swansea City have prevailed in 2 of their last 10 games vs all teams, while Derby County triumphed in 5 of their last 10 matches in all competitions, suggesting perhaps Derby County are in the better form approaching this match.

Evaluating team streaks offer crucial insight into current form so we can find out successful bets

Versus All Teams Streaks:

• Swansea City: Losses in the last 3 matches.
• Swansea City: No wins in the last 5 matches.
• Swansea City: Without clean sheet in the last 7 matches.
• Derby County: Without clean sheet in the last 4 matches.
• Swansea City: More than 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 6 matches.
• Derby County: More than 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 matches.
• Swansea City: Both teams scoring in 5 of the last 6 matches.
• Derby County: Both teams scoring in 4 of the last 5 matches.
• Derby County: First to score in 6 of the last 6 matches.
• Swansea City: First to concede in 4 of the last 5 matches.
• Derby County: First half winner in 5 of the last 5 matches.
• Swansea City: Less than 4.5 cards in 5 of the last 6 matches.
• Derby County: Less than 4.5 cards in 6 of the last 6 matches.
• Derby County: More than 10.5 corners in 6 of the last 7 matches.

Exact Head-to-Head Streaks:

• Swansea City: 3 Wins.
• Swansea City: 5 No losses.
• Derby County: Without clean sheet in the last 3 matches.
• Both teams: Less than 4.5 cards in 8 of the last 8 matches.
• Both teams: Less than 10.5 corners in 7 of the last 7 matches.

Swansea City vs Derby County Best Sportsbook Odds For The Match

Full Time Result

1W

2.23

2W

3.72

X

3.2

Both Teams To Score

Yes

2.09

No

1.781

Over Under Full Time

> 1.5

1.5

< 1.5

2.8

> 2.5

2.54

< 2.5

1.555

Draw No Bet

1W

1.531

2W

2.59

Asian Handicap && -1.5

1W -1.5

4.4

2W -1.5

1.18

Over Under First Half

> 1.5

3.4

< 1.5

1.29

Over Under Second Half

> 1.5

2.55

< 1.5

1.46

Swansea City vs Derby County Tips

Over Under Second Half 1.5 → Under catches the eye as a worthwhile bet → 1.46