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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets: Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Stats (Sun, 18 May '25)

By Wojtek Kolan - 3:57AM UTC at 16 May '25

Upcoming Head-to-Head Match Between Oklahoma City Thunder & Denver Nuggets

NBA, Playoffs

NBA, Playoffs

Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder

W
W
W
W
L
W
L
W
W
L

Today

18 May '25

19:30

Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets

W
W
L
W
W
L
W
L
L
W

Match Overview - When Will They Play?

Denver Nuggets will face off against Oklahoma City Thunder in on Sun, 18 May '25. Let’s analyze past stats, recent form and head-to-head comparisons to unearth the most accurate predictions and best bets.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

Calculated from the indicated probability from the 1x2 market, Oklahoma City Thunder have a 62.5% to win. Subscribe to the Matchstat.com Basketball picks club to get data on implied vs actual predictions to discover edge in order to make successful bets.

Prediction Chance to win
Oklahoma City Thunder 62.5 %
Denver Nuggets 38.61 %

Above is calculated from odds. Login now to find out our expert predictions.

Head-to-Head: Oklahoma City Thunder 5 - 5 Denver Nuggets

Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder

Last 10 Matches

5

Wins

5

Wins

Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets H2H Match Summary

Analyzing the most recent 10 head-to-head games for these competitors, Oklahoma City Thunder have won 5 times and Denver Nuggets have come out on top on 5 occasion.


Head-to-Head Match Wins
Oklahoma City Thunder 5
Denver Nuggets 5

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Historical Matches

Tour NBA
18 May '25 19:30
Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder

Away

Denver Nuggets

16 May '25 00:30
Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets

Away

Oklahoma City Thunder

119
107
14 May '25 01:30
Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder

Away

Denver Nuggets

112
105
11 May '25 19:30
Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets

Away

Oklahoma City Thunder

87
92
view more Down arrow icon

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Preview & Performance Report

Editorial Prediction:

Oklahoma City Thunder is set to compete against the Denver Nuggets in the NBA Playoffs tournament on Sunday, May 18, 2025. As prospective gamblers assess the betting landscape, diving into statistical analyses and predictions offers valuable insights into which market may be optimal for placing bets.

Historically, Oklahoma City Thunder has the edge in head-to-head performance over their last ten encounters, prevailing in six contests, whereas Denver Nuggets clinched victory in four. Notably, in their most recent matchup held on Friday, May 16, 2025, Denver Nuggets overcame Oklahoma City Thunder with a scoreline of 30-20 on Denver's home turf.

Examining the statistical performance from their last encounter, Denver Nuggets showed superior proficiency in free throws, converting 66% (2/3) as opposed to Oklahoma City Thunder’s 50% (1/2). From beyond the arc, Denver Nuggets achieved a 44% success rate (4/9) against Oklahoma City's 33% (3/9). Despite Oklahoma City securing more rebounds (8 compared to Denver's 7), Denver Nuggets excelled in securing possession by only recording one turnover, contrasted with Oklahoma City’s four turnovers. Additionally, the momentum within play saw Denver Nuggets string together a maximum of nine consecutive points, overshadowing Oklahoma City's five.

Looking at recent performances, Oklahoma City Thunder enters this match after a 107-119 defeat to the Denver Nuggets. Conversely, Denver Nuggets recently faced a 105-112 defeat, also to Oklahoma City Thunder. Given the statistical disparities noted in their last game, coupled with the more recent head-to-head victory, the momentum tilts in favor of the Denver Nuggets to secure a victory in this upcoming encounter.

Head To Head Streaks

First half winner
9/10
First half loser
9/10
Scored points average (Last 10)
114
Scored points average (Last 10)
111
(Both)
Game points average (Last 10)
225

Team Streaks

First half winner
6/7
First half loser
5/6
First quarter winner
5/7
First quarter loser
5/7
Scored points average (Last 10)
116
Scored points average (Last 10)
111
(Both)
Game points average (Last 10)
222

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Best Odds For The Match

Winner (incl. overtime)
1W
-167
2W
+159
Over Under (incl. overtime)
> 210.5
-142
< 210.5
+205
> 215.5
-118
< 215.5
+130
> 220.5
+108
< 220.5
-116
> 221.5
+114
< 221.5
-128
> 222.5
+114
< 222.5
-139
> 200.5
-625
< 200.5
+350
> 205.5
-417
< 205.5
+265
> 223.5
+112
< 223.5
-152
> 224.5
+120
< 224.5
-167
> 225.5
+130
< 225.5
-182
> 226.5
+140
< 226.5
-200
> 227.5
+150
< 227.5
-217
> 228.5
+165
< 228.5
-238
> 229.5
+180
< 229.5
-263
> 230.5
+190
< 230.5
-286
First Half Winner
1W
-109
2W
-112
Regular Time Result
1W
-313
2W
+265
X
+1400
Over Under First Half
> 105.5
-185
< 105.5
+132

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Premium Model Predictions With Edge

Nuggets win
Probability 26.65%
Edge -0.35%
Best Odds +270
Nuggets +8.0
Probability 54.45%
Edge 2.55%
Best Odds -108

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Over 213.5
Probability
Edge 1.6%
Best Odds
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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Premium Model Best Player Props Bets

Jamal Murray Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made
Probability 53.84%
Projection 2.76%
Edge 12.17%
Best Odds +140
Nikola Jokic Over 8.5 Total Assists
Probability 61.32%
Projection 10.34%
Edge 13.7%
Best Odds +110

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Christian Braun Under 0.5 Total Steals
Probability
Projection
Edge 6.25%
Best Odds
Luguentz Dort Under 0.5 Total Steals
Probability
Projection
Edge 8.4%
Best Odds
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 2.5 Total Turnovers
Probability
Projection
Edge 7.74%
Best Odds
Jalen Williams Over 5.5 Total Assists
Probability
Projection
Edge 9.22%
Best Odds
Jalen Williams Over 1.5 Total Steals
Probability
Projection
Edge 7.83%
Best Odds
Chet Holmgren Over 2.5 Total Blocks
Probability
Projection
Edge 11.03%
Best Odds
View All NBA Predictions With Edge picks

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Gold Model Best Player Props Bets

Michael Porter Jr. (SF) 17.5 Total Points, Rebounds, & Assists
Projection 23.8%
Edge 32.5%
Best Odds OVER -110 UNDER -115
Aaron Wiggins (SG) 1.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 2.2%
Edge 39.3%
Best Odds OVER -130 UNDER +105

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Aaron Gordon (PF) 20.5 Total Points, Rebounds, & Assists
Projection
Edge 36.95%
Best Odds
Isaiah Hartenstein (C) 12.5 Total Points & Assists
Projection
Edge 31.25%
Best Odds
Luguentz Dort (SF) 2.5 Total Rebounds
Projection
Edge 47.45%
Best Odds
Russell Westbrook (PG) 3.5 Total Assists
Projection
Edge 33.05%
Best Odds
Jaylin Williams (PF) 2.5 Total Points
Projection
Edge 45.3%
Best Odds
Alex Caruso (SG) 2.5 Total Rebounds
Projection
Edge 38.1%
Best Odds
View All NBA Predictions With Edge picks

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Premium Money Line, Spread, Points Expert Picks

Thunder
Expert Jimmy Wang
Best Odds 0
-8.5 Thunder
Expert Jimmy Wang
Best Odds 0

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-
Expert Jimmy Wang
Best Odds
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Matchstat.com Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction For This Upcoming H2H Match

Oklahoma City Thunder Denver Nuggets
lock
lock

Oklahoma City Thunder and Denver Nuggets Recently Played

Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder
Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets

Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder

119
107
L
Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder

Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets

112
105
W
Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets

Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder

87
92
W
Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets

Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder

113
104
L
Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets

Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder

119
107
W
Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder

Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets

112
105
L
Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets

Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder

87
92
L
Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets

Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder

113
104
W
view more Down arrow icon

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Recent Match H2H stats

Thunder vs Nuggets in the NBA, Playoffs on Sun, 18 May '25

ALL

Final Score : -

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Recent Match H2H stats
Oklahoma City Thunder (H) Scoring Denver Nuggets (A)
0/0 (0%) Free throws 0/0 (0%)
0/0 (0%) 2 pointers 0/0 (0%)
0/0 (0%) 3 pointers 0/0 (0%)
0/0 (0%) Field goals 0/0 (0%)
Oklahoma City Thunder (H) Other Denver Nuggets (A)
Oklahoma City Thunder (H) Lead Denver Nuggets (A)
0:00 Time spent in lead 0:00

Oklahoma City Thunder Last Match Played stats

Nuggets vs Thunder in the NBA, Playoffs on Fri, 16 May '25

ALL
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q

Final Score : 119 - 107

Oklahoma City Thunder Last Match Played stats
Denver Nuggets (H) Scoring Oklahoma City Thunder (A)
27/32 (84%) Free throws 10/16 (62%)
28/54 (51%) 2 pointers 32/52 (61%)
12/32 (37%) 3 pointers 11/40 (27%)
40/86 (46%) Field goals 43/92 (46%)
Denver Nuggets (H) Other Oklahoma City Thunder (A)
52 Rebounds 40
41 Defensive rebounds 33
11 Offensive rebounds 7
27 Assists 25
14 Turnovers 11
8 Steals 11
6 Blocks 4
16 Fouls 28
Denver Nuggets (H) Lead Oklahoma City Thunder (A)
12 Max points in a row 9
27:26 Time spent in lead 13:54
16 Biggest lead 12

Denver Nuggets Last Match Played stats

Nuggets vs Thunder in the NBA, Playoffs on Fri, 16 May '25

ALL
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q

Final Score : 119 - 107

Denver Nuggets Last Match Played stats
Denver Nuggets (H) Scoring Oklahoma City Thunder (A)
27/32 (84%) Free throws 10/16 (62%)
28/54 (51%) 2 pointers 32/52 (61%)
12/32 (37%) 3 pointers 11/40 (27%)
40/86 (46%) Field goals 43/92 (46%)
Denver Nuggets (H) Other Oklahoma City Thunder (A)
52 Rebounds 40
41 Defensive rebounds 33
11 Offensive rebounds 7
27 Assists 25
14 Turnovers 11
8 Steals 11
6 Blocks 4
16 Fouls 28
Denver Nuggets (H) Lead Oklahoma City Thunder (A)
12 Max points in a row 9
27:26 Time spent in lead 13:54
16 Biggest lead 12

Oklahoma City Thunder Basketball Fixtures

Tour NBA
18 May '25 19:30
Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder

Away

Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets Basketball Fixtures

Tour NBA
18 May '25 19:30
Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder

Away

Denver Nuggets

Eastern Conference Standings

POS TEAM MP W L PER %
1

Cleveland Cavaliers

82 64 18 0.78
2

Boston Celtics

82 61 21 0.744
3

New York Knicks

82 51 31 0.622
4

Indiana Pacers

82 50 32 0.61
5

Milwaukee Bucks

82 48 34 0.585
6

Detroit Pistons

82 44 38 0.537
7

Orlando Magic

82 41 41 0.5
8

Atlanta Hawks

82 40 42 0.488
9

Chicago Bulls

82 39 43 0.476
10

Miami Heat

82 37 45 0.451
11

Toronto Raptors

82 30 52 0.366
12

Brooklyn Nets

82 26 56 0.317
13

Philadelphia 76ers

82 24 58 0.293
14

Charlotte Hornets

82 19 63 0.232
15

Washington Wizards

82 18 64 0.22

Playoffs

Qualification Playoffs

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