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Dominic Thiem vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Thiem vs Carreno-Busta analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Dominic Thiem vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Important H2H Prediction Stats:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Thiem has won 49.82% of points on his second serve, while Carreno-Busta has won 0%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Thiem, in recent form, has won 47.94% of his opponent's second serve points, while Carreno-Busta has won 0%. The same stats for first serve returns are 27.7% and 0% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Thiem has saved 57.85% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Carreno-Busta has saved 0% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Thiem has won 50.94% of matches played (W/L 27/ 26), with Carreno-Busta winning 33.33% (W/L 1/ 2) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Thiem has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 70% (W/L 258/ 110), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 45% (W/L 14/ 17). Carreno-Busta has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 67% (W/L 339/ 168), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 32% (W/L 6/ 13).
  • Player level: In the last year, Thiem has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 54.17% of matches (W/L 13/ 11), where as Carreno-Busta has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 33.33% of matches (W/L 1/ 2). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 10 times before with Thiem winning 7 times. They have played 28 sets in total, with Thiem winning 18 and Carreno-Busta winning 10. The last match between Thiem and Carreno-Busta was at the U.S. Open - New York, 29-08-2022, First, Hard with Pablo Carreno-Busta getting the victory .
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:39:33.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Thiem and Carreno-Busta have played a deciding set 5 times, with Thiem winning 4 times and Carreno-Busta 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Thiem winning 1, and Carreno-Busta 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Thiem has played against opponents with an average rank of 162.3 while Carreno-Busta has played against players with an average rank of 332.67.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Thiem has won 52% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Carreno-Busta has won 100% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Thiem has converted 34.45% of breakpoint opportunities, and Carreno-Busta has converted 0% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
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Head-to-head: Thiem 8 - 2 Carreno-Busta

Dominic Thiem

24

Total

1

Mast

2

Chall

1

Slam

15

Main

5

Minor

110

Rank

3

High

30

Age

R

Plays

8

Total

2

2

Hard

1

4

Clay

1

2

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

605

Rank

10

High

32

Age

R

Plays

Pablo Carreno-Busta

30

Total

1

Mast

11

Chall

0

Slam

6

Main

12

Minor

8

Total

2

2

Hard

1

4

Clay

1

2

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

W L W L W L L L W L

Form

W L L L W L L L W L

64% (482-272)

Career Total W/L

64% (560-315)

43% (6-8)

YTD W/L

0% (0-0)

$20,479,395

Career Prize Money

$9,946,935

0

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Thiem VS Carreno-Busta H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Dominic Thiem Pablo Carreno-Busta
All H2H Matches 7 2
Sets Won 18 10
Games Won 137 126
Aces (Total) 68 29
DFs (Total) 26 11
Avg Match Time 1:39:33 1:39:33
1st Serve % 57% (398/701) 66% (479/730)
1st Serve Win% 71% (284/398) 66% (315/479)
2nd Serve Win% 53% (160/303) 50% (125/251)
BPs Won% (Total) 44% (34/77) 45% (29/64)
Return Points W% 40% (290/730) 37% (257/701)
Best of 3 Sets W% 86% (6/7) 14% (1/7)
Best of 5 Sets W% 50% (1/2) 50% (1/2)
TBs Win% (Total) 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
Deciding Set Win% 80% (4/5) 20% (1/5)
1st set W, W 100% (7/7) 67% (3/2)
1st set W, L 0% (7/0) 33% (3/1)
1st set L, W 33% (3/1) 0% (7/0)

Thiem VS Carreno-Busta H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
7-5 6-1 5-7 6-3
cross
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Dominic Thiem
67% ( 78 of 116)
1st Serve %
59% ( 79 of 135)
8
Aces
12
1
Double Faults
5
65% ( 51 of 78)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 46 of 79)
68% ( 26 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 29 of 56)
42% ( 8 of 19)
Break Points Won
44% ( 4 of 9)
34% ( 39 of 116)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 60 of 135)
137
Total Points Won
114
5-0 ret.
cross
Dominic Thiem
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
42% ( 5 of 12)
1st Serve %
86% ( 18 of 21)
4
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
0
80% ( 4 of 5)
1st Serve Won
33% ( 6 of 18)
71% ( 5 of 7)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
25% ( 3 of 12)
Rtn Points Won
67% ( 14 of 21)
23
Total Points Won
10
7-6(3) 6-3
cross
Dominic Thiem
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
64% ( 45 of 70)
1st Serve %
66% ( 50 of 76)
11
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
1
89% ( 40 of 45)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 35 of 50)
56% ( 14 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 13 of 26)
17% ( 1 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
23% ( 16 of 70)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 28 of 76)
82
Total Points Won
64
6-3 3-6 6-4
cross
Dominic Thiem
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
52% ( 41 of 79)
1st Serve %
64% ( 67 of 104)
12
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
1
90% ( 37 of 41)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 41 of 67)
39% ( 15 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 18 of 37)
31% ( 4 of 13)
Break Points Won
100% ( 3 of 3)
34% ( 27 of 79)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 45 of 104)
97
Total Points Won
86
7-5 6-4
cross
Dominic Thiem
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
54% ( 33 of 61)
1st Serve %
74% ( 50 of 68)
7
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
0
67% ( 22 of 33)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 33 of 50)
71% ( 20 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 7 of 18)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
31% ( 19 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 28 of 68)
70
Total Points Won
59
1-6 6-4 6-4 7-5
cross
Dominic Thiem
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
52% ( 70 of 135)
1st Serve %
56% ( 73 of 131)
11
Aces
7
6
Double Faults
5
73% ( 51 of 70)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 51 of 73)
48% ( 31 of 65)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 24 of 58)
43% ( 6 of 14)
Break Points Won
33% ( 5 of 15)
39% ( 53 of 135)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 56 of 131)
138
Total Points Won
128
6-0 3-6 6-3
cross
Dominic Thiem
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
72% ( 50 of 69)
1st Serve %
70% ( 43 of 61)
4
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
1
74% ( 37 of 50)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 27 of 43)
58% ( 11 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 9 of 18)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
30% ( 21 of 69)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 25 of 61)
73
Total Points Won
57
6-4 3-6 6-2
cross
Dominic Thiem
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
72% ( 48 of 67)
1st Serve %
70% ( 56 of 80)
4
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
1
75% ( 36 of 48)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 43 of 56)
68% ( 13 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 10 of 24)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
27% ( 18 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 27 of 80)
76
Total Points Won
71
6-2 5-7 6-0
cross
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Dominic Thiem
60% ( 44 of 73)
1st Serve %
37% ( 27 of 73)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
7
64% ( 28 of 44)
1st Serve Won
41% ( 11 of 27)
59% ( 17 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 22 of 46)
67% ( 8 of 12)
Break Points Won
67% ( 4 of 6)
38% ( 28 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 40 of 73)
85
Total Points Won
61
7-5 3-6 6-3

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Dominic Thiem Pablo Carreno-Busta
YTD W/L 43% (6/8) 0% (0/0)
Sets Win/Loss 40% (14/21) 0% (0/0)
Games Win/Loss 45% (156/188) 0% (0/0)
Hard Win/Loss 50% (2/2) 0% (0/0)
Clay Win/Loss 33% (3/6) 0% (0/0)
Indoor Hard W/L 100% (1/0) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.31 0
Aces Total 52 0
DFs per game 0.23 0
DFs Total 39 0
Avg Match Time 1:53:17 1st Match
Avg Opp Rank 194.86 0
1st Serve % 62% (599/959) 0% (0/0)
1st Serve W% 67% (400/599) 0% (0/0)
2nd Serve W% 48% (171/360) 0% (0/0)
BPs Won% Total 31% (24/78) 0% (0/0)
Return Pts W% 35% (339/977) 0% (0/0)
Slam W/L 0% (0/1) 0% (0/0)
Masters W/L 33% (1/2) 0% (0/0)
Cups W/L 100% (1/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 50% (3/3) 0% (0/0)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 33% (1/2) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 46% (6/13) 0% (0/0)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/1) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 67% (4/6) 0% (0/0)
Deciding Set W% 80% (4/5) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, W 100% (4/4) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, L 0% (4/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set L, W 20% (10/2) 0% (0/0)

Dominic Thiem Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
QF
cross
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Player
Dominic Thiem
70% ( 32 of 46)
1st Serve %
64% ( 36 of 56)
4
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
1
81% ( 26 of 32)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 18 of 36)
57% ( 8 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 11 of 20)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
26% ( 12 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 27 of 56)
61
Total Points Won
41
L
6-1 6-3 H2H
Q1
cross
Dominic Thiem
Player
Felipe Meligeni Alves
61% ( 54 of 88)
1st Serve %
73% ( 72 of 99)
6
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
1
69% ( 37 of 54)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 44 of 72)
56% ( 19 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 13 of 27)
36% ( 5 of 14)
Break Points Won
27% ( 3 of 11)
36% ( 32 of 88)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 42 of 99)
98
Total Points Won
89
W
6-2 3-6 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Alejandro Moro Canas
Player
Dominic Thiem
75% ( 58 of 77)
1st Serve %
51% ( 29 of 57)
3
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
66% ( 38 of 58)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 16 of 29)
37% ( 7 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 14 of 28)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
38% ( 3 of 8)
42% ( 32 of 77)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 27 of 57)
72
Total Points Won
62
L
6-4 6-4 H2H
Q1
cross
Roberto Bautista Agut
Player
Dominic Thiem
78% ( 35 of 45)
1st Serve %
64% ( 27 of 42)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
3
69% ( 24 of 35)
1st Serve Won
37% ( 10 of 27)
70% ( 7 of 10)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 6 of 15)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
31% ( 14 of 45)
Rtn Points Won
62% ( 26 of 42)
57
Total Points Won
30
L
6-1 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Richard Gasquet
Player
Dominic Thiem
52% ( 32 of 61)
1st Serve %
57% ( 52 of 91)
3
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
4
72% ( 23 of 32)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 34 of 52)
72% ( 21 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
51% ( 20 of 39)
25% ( 2 of 8)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
28% ( 17 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 37 of 91)
81
Total Points Won
71
L
6-4 7-6(6) H2H
R1
cross
Dominic Thiem
Player
Maximilian Marterer
61% ( 52 of 85)
1st Serve %
62% ( 59 of 95)
6
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
7
73% ( 38 of 52)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 35 of 59)
48% ( 16 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 16 of 36)
50% ( 6 of 12)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
36% ( 31 of 85)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 44 of 95)
98
Total Points Won
82
W
6-1 6-7(3) 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Lukas Neumayer
Player
Dominic Thiem
62% ( 45 of 73)
1st Serve %
56% ( 27 of 48)
1
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
2
67% ( 30 of 45)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 16 of 27)
57% ( 16 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 8 of 21)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 8)
37% ( 27 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 24 of 48)
70
Total Points Won
51
L
6-2 6-1 H2H
R1
W
6-2 7-6(4) H2H
R1
cross
Daniel Michalski
Player
Dominic Thiem
64% ( 49 of 77)
1st Serve %
57% ( 34 of 60)
0
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
1
69% ( 34 of 49)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 24 of 34)
57% ( 16 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 10 of 26)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
14% ( 1 of 7)
35% ( 27 of 77)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 26 of 60)
76
Total Points Won
61
L
6-3 6-4 H2H
Rubber 1
W
7-6(6) 6-3 H2H

Pablo Carreno-Busta Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R2
cross
Mattia Bellucci
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
64% ( 45 of 70)
1st Serve %
75% ( 47 of 63)
4
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
1
76% ( 34 of 45)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 30 of 47)
72% ( 18 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
63% ( 10 of 16)
50% ( 1 of 2)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
26% ( 18 of 70)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 23 of 63)
75
Total Points Won
58
L
6-3 7-6(0) H2H
R1
cross
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Arthur Cazaux
70% ( 74 of 105)
1st Serve %
60% ( 44 of 73)
2
Aces
12
5
Double Faults
1
68% ( 50 of 74)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 34 of 44)
32% ( 10 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 12 of 29)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
30% ( 3 of 10)
43% ( 45 of 105)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 27 of 73)
87
Total Points Won
91
W
2-6 6-4 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Pedro Martinez Portero
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
69% ( 64 of 93)
1st Serve %
70% ( 43 of 61)
3
Aces
5
4
Double Faults
1
75% ( 48 of 64)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 31 of 43)
48% ( 14 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 9 of 18)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 13)
33% ( 31 of 93)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 21 of 61)
83
Total Points Won
71
L
6-3 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Richard Gasquet
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
58% ( 49 of 84)
1st Serve %
62% ( 62 of 100)
13
Aces
10
2
Double Faults
5
73% ( 36 of 49)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 43 of 62)
49% ( 17 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 18 of 38)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
38% ( 3 of 8)
37% ( 31 of 84)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 39 of 100)
92
Total Points Won
92
L
2-6 7-6(2) 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Benjamin Bonzi
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
66% ( 117 of 176)
1st Serve %
65% ( 122 of 187)
15
Aces
12
2
Double Faults
2
76% ( 89 of 117)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 87 of 122)
56% ( 33 of 59)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 34 of 65)
19% ( 4 of 21)
Break Points Won
17% ( 3 of 18)
31% ( 54 of 176)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 66 of 187)
188
Total Points Won
175
L
4-6 4-6 7-6(5) 6-1 7-6(4) H2H
R1
cross
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Pedro Cachin
63% ( 59 of 93)
1st Serve %
61% ( 59 of 97)
15
Aces
12
3
Double Faults
1
90% ( 53 of 59)
1st Serve Won
81% ( 48 of 59)
65% ( 22 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 18 of 38)
33% ( 2 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
19% ( 18 of 93)
Rtn Points Won
32% ( 31 of 97)
106
Total Points Won
84
W
7-6(4) 6-1 7-6(3) H2H
R2
cross
Soon-Woo Kwon
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
65% ( 57 of 88)
1st Serve %
61% ( 65 of 107)
11
Aces
10
3
Double Faults
6
77% ( 44 of 57)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 44 of 65)
52% ( 16 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 22 of 42)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
32% ( 28 of 88)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 41 of 107)
101
Total Points Won
94
L
3-6 6-4 6-4 H2H
Rubber 2
L
5-7 6-3 7-6(5) H2H
R3
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
67% ( 38 of 57)
1st Serve %
81% ( 52 of 64)
4
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
0
76% ( 29 of 38)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 34 of 52)
68% ( 13 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
25% ( 3 of 12)
25% ( 3 of 12)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
26% ( 15 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 27 of 64)
69
Total Points Won
52
L
6-4 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Denis Shapovalov
59% ( 48 of 81)
1st Serve %
50% ( 51 of 103)
3
Aces
12
2
Double Faults
9
75% ( 36 of 48)
1st Serve Won
86% ( 44 of 51)
70% ( 23 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 25 of 52)
22% ( 2 of 9)
Break Points Won
60% ( 3 of 5)
27% ( 22 of 81)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 34 of 103)
93
Total Points Won
91
W
7-6(2) 2-6 6-4 H2H

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